Border gambit How would NATO react if Russia seized the Suwałki Gap between Poland and Lithuania to connect Kaliningrad to Belarus? A military expert shares his opinion
Stalemate or warm-up? Is it true that Ukraine’s counter-offensive has lost traction, while Russia also has no particular prospects for an advance? Military expert Yury Fedorov explains
The Bakhmut conundrum Why the slaughterous battle for Soledar and Bakhmut is likely to be only the beginning of Russia’s exhausting, tedious, and fruitless winter campaign
Lose Kherson, lose it all After the defeat on the west bank of the Dnipro River, Russia could end up losing Melitopol, Berdyansk, and Mariupol. Here’s how that could happen
Five weeks to pack up Why Lyman was surrendered not by Russian generals, but personally by Colonel Putin, and how soon Russia will give up all its gains in Ukraine
Next HIMARS target: the Kherson referendum Why the Ukrainian army is in no hurry to launch a full-scale offensive on Kherson and how Russian logistics in the region are being destroyed