Commentary · Политика

Shifting the paradigm

US President Joe Biden’s decision to avoid escalation has become perverse and deadly for Ukraine

Rescue workers at the site of a Russian strike on a residential area in Lviv, western Ukraine, 4 September 2024. Photo: EPA-EFE/MYKOLA TYS

Last month, a Russian missile blew apart an apartment building in the centre of Lviv. I sent a message to a friend who lives there: Was everyone okay? “Yes, we were lucky,” he replied. “Our friends who live just next to us, a young woman and her three daughters, are dead.”

Marci Shore

Professor of History at Yale University


Then I saw the footage. The neighbour, Yaroslav Bazylevych, his face cut and bloodied, watched as the bodies of that young woman — his wife — and their three daughters were pulled from the rubble. A photo from the funeral, showing Bazylevych staring into the open coffins, should enter the pantheon of iconic images of atrocity: the little Jewish boy with his arms raised in the Warsaw Ghetto, the naked Vietnamese girl fleeing her village after a napalm attack, the body of the two-year-old Syrian boy washed ashore on a Turkish beach.

The hypersonic Kinzhal missile that killed the Bazylevych family, like the one that hit the Okhmatdyt children’s hospital in Kyiv two months earlier, was fired from deep inside Russia. The launch sites are not a mystery; the Ukrainians know where they are. The missile that killed Yaroslav’s wife, Yevgenia, and their daughters was launched from a MiG-31K aircraft in Russia’s Tula region.

The aircraft took off from Savasleyka, a military air base about 300 kilometres east of Moscow, about 866 kilometres from the Ukrainian border, and 1,386 kilometres from Lviv. By car, the drive would take over 20 hours; a Kinzhal can travel that far in as little as seven minutes.

But Ukrainians are not permitted to use the weapons Americans have provided to destroy the launching sites; they have to wait for the missiles to arrive. Everyone knows it is absurd, but it is not their decision. It is the decision of the US government, and in fact of one man, President Joe Biden — a good man with the right moral instincts, but a man who has been unable to see beyond the paradigm of “escalation avoidance”, long after that paradigm has become perverse and deadly.

Cadets and civilians hold a large national flag while singing the Ukrainian national anthem in Lviv, western Ukraine, 11 March 2024. Photo: EPA-EFE/MYKOLA TYS

Admittedly, it is hard to extricate ourselves from long-held paradigms and see the world anew, all the more so as we age. We are always attached to the previous reality. War and revolution rupture time, throw it “out of joint” in Hamlet’s words. Suddenly, a state of affairs that has prevailed for years or decades ceases, as if in an instant, to exist. Yet the thinking shaped by it can linger long afterwards.

This is especially poignant in Biden’s case. In October 1991, he chaired the US Senate Judiciary Committee, presiding over hearings to investigate law professor Anita Hill’s claims that Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas had sexually harassed her a decade earlier. Thomas’s defenders portrayed Hill as a rebuffed single woman prone to chasing male attention.

John Doggett, a Texas attorney and friend of Thomas called to testify on Thomas’s behalf, recounted that Hill had once expressed disappointment when he cancelled a dinner date. “Ms Hill’s fantasies about my sexual interest in her were an indication of the fact that she was having a problem with being rejected by men she was attracted to,” Doggett told the committee. Biden responded to Doggett’s claim: “It seems to me that is a true leap in faith or ego, one of the two.”

Listening over the radio 33 years ago, I understood that Biden believed Hill and cringed at her humiliation. He took care to emphasise that she had not wanted to come forward. Still, Biden lacked the daring to step outside of his assigned role, to see the situation anew.

But the inclination to avoid radicalism can have radical consequences. Biden’s moral sensibility was respectable, but his failure to take a bold step had dire repercussions, for it allowed Thomas to take his seat on the court. The moral bankruptcy of today’s Supreme Court, in which Thomas plays a key role, has left Americans facing an aspiring dictator whom that court, in a decision supported by Thomas, has now granted near-total impunity.

It is not ill will or callousness that has defined Biden’s career, but rather a lack of daring. Indeed, that seems to be the tragic flaw of a fundamentally decent man. In a world where narcissistic psychopaths exert a disproportionate influence in shaping events, Biden stands out for his empathy. But that is not — and cannot be — enough.

History moves through an interaction between the structural conditions in which we find ourselves and the choices we make. Sometimes the role of individual choice emerges with particular acuity, for better or worse: Franklin D. Roosevelt’s “bold experimentation” to overcome the Great Depression, for example, or Neville Chamberlain’s appeasement of Adolf Hitler at Munich.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s refusal of the US government’s offer to evacuate him as Russian tanks rumbled toward Kyiv was another such moment. While the Kremlin’s assassins hunted him in the capital, Zelensky walked out onto the city streets at night and recorded a selfie video. “The president is here,” he said. “We are all here.”

The aftermath of a Russian airstrike on a residential area in Lviv, western Ukraine, 4 September 2024. Photo: EPA-EFE/MYKOLA TYS

Suddenly, nothing was as expected. Ukraine would not fall in three days, as Vladimir Putin had predicted, and be reduced to a Belarus-style Russian protectorate. A massive land war on the European continent, considered impossible before 24 February 2022, had suddenly become the great fact of the early 21st century.

Moreover, there was no such thing as “The End of History”. “The task of Europe in these times of emergency,” the Ukrainian art curator Vasyl Cherepanyn has written, “is primarily to unlearn to unsee, in order to learn to see — to subject the narratives central to its history to profound revision and change, since they are decisive for Europe’s future.”

This unlearning to unsee is Biden’s task today. He is no longer young, and his time remaining in power is short. Yet he still can — and should — take a risk, shift the paradigm, and embrace the possibilities, and the demands, of a new historical moment.

“The miracle that saves the world ... from its normal, ‘natural’ ruin,” Hannah Arendt wrote, “is ultimately the fact of natality.” By natality, she meant not only the literal birth of a new generation, but also the new beginnings arising from humans’ capacity to act. For Arendt, action possesses the quality of birth, its consequences unpredictable by its very nature. In Ukraine, inaction — the refusal to permit Ukraine’s government to act in self-defence — possesses the quality of death.

This article was first published by Project Syndicate. Views expressed in opinion pieces do not necessarily reflect the position of Novaya Gazeta Europe