Last September, Russia essentially backed itself into a corner. The Kremlin shut down Nord Stream 1, a pipeline used to carry natural gas from St. Petersburg to Germany. Back in the beginning of 2022, Nord Stream 1 accounted for more than half of all Russia-EU gas supplies, an increase compared to the 2021 number of 40%, Bruegel data shows. Moreover, the Yamal-Europe pipeline operation came to a standstill, while the Ukraine transit went down as well. (It may even come to a grinding halt in 2024).